Japan Met Agency Confirms Early Concerns — October 2015 Shaping up to Be Hottest Month Ever Recorded

There’s no rational reason at all to doubt that the globe is heating up. In fact, those born after 1985 haven’t experienced a single year of average temperatures. For them, even the brief two year period following Pinatubo’s massive injection of shading aerosols into the stratosphere was but a minor less-hot spell. One that failed to, for even a short while, return the world to more normal temperatures.

30yearsofabo

(The global temperature record from 1880 through 2014 as provided by NOAA. As is plainly visible, the temperature increase since 1880 has been extraordinary — particularly during the years following 1975 as greenhouse gas buildup rates rapidly climbed to unprecedented levels. Image source: NOAA Global Analysis.)

Those living in this time of increasingly rarefied and weirded weather may as well be named, not by the colloquially meaningless terms generations Y and Z, but by the more contextually appropriate monikers — generation climate destabilization (Y) and generation climate chaos (Z). It’s worth noting that such names may seem unfair due to the fact that neither generation made the choices that would force them to experience such severe disruptions. No, instead they were the unwitting victims of choices made by the many previous generations who failed or neglected to rein in the power of the fossil fuel giants before climate catastrophes could begin to take hold. These new generations, instead, are the unfortunate ones who would inhabit the years when humankind left any climate context it had ever experienced — at least since the dawn of human civilization itself, and possibly since the birth of humankind altogether. The first of many generations we have doomed to face the long, bad years of a worsening climate disruption.

This year, the year of 2015, is shaping up to be the most recent worst of a hot bunch. And October of this year is looking like a horrendous outlier hot month. A month testing the new extreme range of record heat that continues to build throughout the global climate system. A ramping warmth we have no chance of stopping at all unless we also swiftly halt the burning of fossil fuels.

October of 2015 Starting to Come in as Hottest Month Ever Recorded

As I type these words that represent my 799th plea for the global community to act decisively on climate change, to turn away from the wretched industrial interests that are dragging increasingly large chunks of our world into a climate chaos of ever-worsening scope, the temperature where I live in Gaithersburg Maryland is a balmy 66 degrees Fahrenheit. That’s about 8 degrees hotter than the typical high temperature for today. Overall, the month of November will come in, if forecasts are correct, between 1 and 2 degrees C hotter than average for my location. This may not seem like much. But since the region has been sitting in a trough zone — with storms and frontal systems tending to drive in from the north and bring in Canadian and Arctic air, these continuous high temperature departures seem rather odd. Especially when one considers them from the meteorological and climate perspective.

November 16 Temperature Departures

(Polar amplification again starkly visible in the November 16, 2015 Climate Reanalyzer temperature anomalies graphic.)

As we look at the global temperature anomaly map for today, we can see that most places around the globe are experiencing above average heat for even the hotter than normal 1979 to 2000 base period. Sections of Asia, Alaska, East Greenland and parts of the Southern Ocean are the noted exceptions. But when one considers that this snapshot is in the context of a 1979-2000 average that, as we can seen in the NOAA graph (top of this post) was much hotter than normal, we begin to realize that even most of the white and light blue sections should be showing up in various shades of orange. And this is especially true when we consider how much the world has warmed up since the late 1800s.

Most ominous, however, is the massive bloom of heat over the Arctic spiking into the range of 36 degrees Fahrenheit (20 degrees Celsius) above average. This heat spike, directly over a section of the Arctic that some have noted could become a hotbed of oceanic and permafrost methane and CO2 feedback to human heating of the globe, is yet one more plainly visible burst of what is called polar amplification. A kind of tilting of heat toward the poles as the Earth warms up. An unevenly rapid heating of the regions that contain most of the world’s ice capable of raising sea levels. An ominous warming of a zone that contains a great portion of the world’s vast carbon stores. Extreme warming where we want to see it least.

And it is all happening in a time that is certainly the hottest in the 125-135 year global climate records of the major reporting agencies. A period likely hotter than during any time in the Holocene. A period potentially hotter than at any time during the last 110,000 years.

For according to Japan’s Meteorological Agency, October of 2015 came in as the hottest month ever recorded in all of its 125 year global climate record. The departure at +0.53 C above the 1981-2000 baseline, +0.85 C above the 20th Century average, and about +1.25 C above temperatures during the late 1890s is far into a range that would well be considered more normal for the Eemian interglacial occurring between 110,000 and 130,000 years ago than for any normal time during the current interglacial. It is also +0.02 C above September of 2015’s new record high set just last month. A continuation of this year’s trend of extreme warming in Japan’s global monitor.

October of 2015 hottest on record

(Global average temperatures for October of 2015 were the hottest for any month in all of Japan’s 125 year global climate record. Image source. Japan Meteorological Agency.)

There’s quite a lot of heat in this graph. For what we see is a temperature range that’s about 0.75 C away from the UN’s so called ‘safe limit’ of 2 C total warming above 1880s values. And what we also see is that the last monster El Nino year of 1997-1998 is increasingly being left in the dust. In fact, 1997 doesn’t show up as any of the top 5 record hot years for October. According to JMA, the new top five record holders are now: 1st. 2015 (+0.53°C), 2nd. 2014 (+0.34°C), 3rd. 2003 (+0.24°C), 4th. 2006 (+0.23°C), and 5th. 2012 (+0.22°C). 1997 now holds the place of sixth hottest on record for October at +0.21 C above the 1981-2000 benchmark or around 0.32 C behind October of 2015. A widening gap that plainly shows that though strong El Ninos have the climatological force to drive new records, the underlying driver pushing the entire record inexorably higher is an unimaginable pace of burning fossils fuels pushing an equally unprecedented rate of global greenhouse gas accumulation.

Pushing us to higher and higher extreme temperature thresholds that are straining the climate and geophysical Earth Systems with which we are currently accustomed to the breaking point.

Links:

NOAA Global Analysis

Climate Reanalyzer

Japan Meteorological Agency

30 Years of Above Average Temperatures Means the Climate Has Changed

October of 2015 May be the Hottest Month Ever Recorded

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81 Comments

  1. Caroline

     /  November 16, 2015

    Finally . . a politician speaks the truth and holds firm to his earlier statement from first debate:
    http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/11/16/3722355/bernie-sanders-climate-change-national-security-paris-climate-talks/

    Reply
  2. Spike

     /  November 16, 2015

    Really warm Nov so far over in UK too – many plants still flowering, Spring flowering plants in my patch already showing early flower development. Met Office anomalies startling:

    Reply
  3. wili

     /  November 16, 2015

    Is there really any chance that 2015 WON’T come in as the hottest year on record at this point?

    Reply
    • No chance at all. Not with the year already so far above previous years. Not with Nino 3.4 hitting a record +3.0 C in the NOAA weekly measure. It’s not a question of record breaker. It’s a question of how far beyond previous records this year jumps. It’s a question of whether 2016 is also a record breaking year. It’s a question of how much longer this El Nino lasts and how much stronger it becomes.

      Something to think about —

      During the early Miocene, when global greenhouse gas levels were comparable to those we are currently starting to explore and will enter within the next handful of decades without major crash reductions in carbon emissions, the the Pacific Ocean was in a state of constant El Nino. If you look at the heat anomaly signature of the Pacific today, it is not only one of record El Nino, but of an extraordinarily strong positive PDO. The heat in NE Pacific would tend to lengthen and strengthen El Nino, as we are seeing now, as it blocks the atmospheric responses that tend to take El Nino down and switch to La Nina. Perhaps it’s a foretaste of what’s to come. Nature’s hint that a change in the way things operate in the ocean/atmosphere heat exchange system is currently underway.

      Trenberth has been proven right in spades. Deep and middle ocean warming was absolutely coming back to haunt us. It’s haunting us now like the Dickens.

      Reply
  4. wili

     /  November 16, 2015

    ” the massive bloom of heat over the Arctic spiking into the range of 36 degrees Fahrenheit (20 degrees Celsius) above average”

    That struck me, too. Is that related to the high level of methane over the region right now?

    Reply
    • It also struck me, too. It’s in the very worst place for a heat concentration to be — those shallow Arctic continental shelves.

      Reply
    • Mark from OZ

       /  November 17, 2015

      “Most ‘ominous’;.. massive bloom of heat over arctic…” Great reporting RS!

      Ruh Roh!
      Sea surface temps exceeded 15c on 07- Nov near Svalbard. And all that ice melt pouring off
      Greenland and spreading across the ‘top’ of the sea water actually ‘traps’ the warmer water underneath. Aerosols also contribute to the cooling seen in the sea surface temp anomalies.

      http://arctic-news.blogspot.com.au/

      (anomalous) + (ominous) = (anominous)

      Reply
    • According to the METOP satellite sensor, we do currently have an overburden of methane at the 10,000 to 30,000 foot levels in that region, as in much of the Arctic and near Arctic. I’d hesitate to call this out as ‘unequivocal proof’ of methane feedback. But what I would say is that it’s a decent level of proxy evidence that there’s something going on up there. Ever since I’ve started monitoring this in 2012, these sensors have been showing an overburden in this region. The signal may be amplified due to the fact that the Arctic atmosphere is thinner and a lower volume of emission is necessary to show overburden. But even if this is the case, there does seem to be something going on in this region that is enough to keep spiking methane readings there. We don’t see a similar overburden in the southern polar region (though we have had some environmental methane releases there). Nor do we see overburden at the equator where we’ve had some rather extreme wildfire emissions recently.

      Furthermore, the METOP measure, which is confirmed by earlier measures such as AIRS, has some confirmation from the (admittedly very sparse) ground monitoring stations, and some confirmation from observational studies in the ESAS (very controversial), thermokarst lake studies, various permafrost studies (including a recent one in Alaska), and a number of Arctic wildfire studies. There is some question as to whether or not methane emissions for the region are currently a near proxy to that of the 20th Century. If so, one wonders if the methane overburden for the region has been going on for some time. Others, including Arctic observational specialists have identified the potential of 100 billion tons or more of carbon feedback coming from the Arctic this Century due to human forced warming of the region. Such a feedback would certainly be an increase over current rates of Arctic carbon emission and over 20th Century rates as well. With a ramp up to these rates expected by at least a good section of the science, and with warming happening so rapidly in the Arctic, it is reasonable to conjecture that we are at the start of such feedbacks now. However, the broader science has not currently reached a consensus on that subject.

      Finally, there is still quite a lot of work to be done on the issue of where the greenhouse gas overburden we see in the Arctic satellite record may be coming from. There has been work by major NOAA scientists that seems to indicate that certain regions (like the Laptev Sea) show molar fractions that indicate much of the methane is coming from biological emissions that are typically associated with wetlands. Such data would point toward permafrost and tundra thaw related emissions. However, we don’t have anywhere near a total picture of the Arctic from this or other perspectives. We are now in the process of trying to determine the shape of the elephant by looking at its feet and its tail and maybe a tusk or two.

      Regardless, I’d call all that’s going on in the Arctic very troubling. And it’s my opinion that we are probably at the start of Arctic feedbacks from various carbon stores. You can’t warm those stores up as much as we have without some level of consequence. And the real argument right now, in my view, is not over whether or not this is happening. In my view the data will find in hind sight that it was happening. The real argument is over how much feedback we will see and where that feedback will ultimately come from.

      Reply
  5. wili

     /  November 16, 2015

    Sorry to pile on, here, but note that, after crossing the 400 boundary, we have seen figures in the 401 and 402 range in the last few days from Mauna Loa.

    Reply
    • redskylite

       /  November 16, 2015

      Well keeping it realistic is needed now, I just looked at NOAA and the upwards CO2 is ever heading upward (at over 3ppm yesterda). Not surprising with events in Indonesia. Despite all the developments with renewables no progress made in putting the carbon cycle back in balance, and you need to be an optimist to imagine that happening.

      Another dose of realism from Chris Mooney today . . .

      https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2015/11/16/the-hidden-factor-that-could-complicate-u-s-plans-to-cut-carbon-emissions/

      Reply
      • Without renewables we’d certainly be emitting more and we’d certainly be worse off. This notion that adding renewables isn’t helping is pure bunk. The thing we should be focusing on is that we’re not adding renewables fast enough and we’re not doing the other things like increasing efficiency fast enough and we’re not really working too hard on transitioning our farming and land use to lower carbon emissions fast enough. All these efforts will be needed. But continuously and falsely pointing out that one isn’t lowering emissions when China and India are still adding coal plants and the world is still adding more and more oil burning vehicles to the roads and even the wealthiest nations of the world are still adding gas plants is nothing more than a red herring.

        Without renewables we’d be billions more tons of carbon in the hole. So to imply anything other than that is complete nonsense.

        Reply
  6. El Niño of 2015 Hits All-Time Record Strength for a 1-Week Period

    The weekly departure of SST from average in this region hit +3.0°C (5.4°F) over the past week, NOAA announced in their November 16 El Niño update. This exceeds the previous 1-week record warmth in the equatorial Pacific of 2.8°C above average set during the week of November 26, 1997;

    http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/el-nio-of-2015-hits-alltime-record-strength-for-a-1week-period

    Reply
  7. Colorado Bob

     /  November 16, 2015

    RS –
    I’ve always been a sucker for the phrase , ” As I type this “.
    So –
    ” As I type this “, dew points at Canadian, Texas today hit 60F degrees , with a 30 mph wind out of the South. Temps were in the low 70’s F. This is important because a squall line is forming , and Canadian is in the heart of the threat box. A member on Dr. Masters latest (link above), posted the forecast maps for this event . Looks to be a giant derecho.

    A derecho (/dəˈreɪtʃoʊ/, from Spanish: derecho [deˈɾetʃo], “straight”) is a widespread, long-lived, straight-line wind storm that is associated with a land-based, fast-moving group of severe thunderstorms. Derechos can cause hurricane force winds, tornadoes, heavy rains, and flash floods.

    The first storms are moving at 60 mph along the line, and dropping 2 in. hail stones.

    It’s going to be a very violent night in Senator Snowball’s home state, and Texas.

    Reply
  8. Reblogged this on GarryRogers Nature Conservation and Science Fiction (#EcoSciFi) and commented:
    The Arctic anomaly is crazy.

    Reply
  9. Griffin

     /  November 17, 2015

    Is it just me, or does it really seem like temps are making jumps that are higher than expected? It just seems like both ocean and air temps are really pushing the upper boundaries of the warnings from earlier posts by you Robert. This is serious acceleration.

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      “Buckle your chin strap”
      Nature is linear right up to the point when it isn’t , then it rips your head off. That is playing out tonight as I type this.

      Reply
    • This year puts us near or just above the top of the IPCC prediction fan for various scenarios.

      Of course when considering the rolling multiyear average it looks like IPCC is on the money so far. It’s worth noting that we are already past RCP 2.6 in global ghg concentrations.

      Reply
  10. Mblanc

     /  November 17, 2015

    Nice and toasty here in the central UK, given that it’s November.

    Everywhere is Scorchio!

    Reply
  11. Matt

     /  November 17, 2015

    Down here in Australia we are getting set for the first major summer heatwave (oh wait it’s not summer yet)
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-16/heatwave-builds-across-australia-this-week/6944702
    Unfortunately at the moment my countdown for Marble Bar breaking the record of 160 consecutive days over 100F has hit a hurdle as the site has had 8 days of missing data! it should be on 45 days in a row by now, but am unsure if we will get data for the missing days?
    The heat engine of our continent is building, last month Marble Bar came in at an average temp of 41.5C a staggering 3.9C above average and this month is already averaging 43.2C around 2C above and we have had the cooler half of the month! All this heat has to go somewhere…….

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      Matt –

      You do good work .

      Here’s yer “Atta Boy”.

      Reply
      • Matt

         /  November 17, 2015

        Ha Ha🙂 I wouldn’t call it work. I love stats!
        My efforts are trivial when compared to that of Mr Scribbler and yourself, in fact a hell of a lot of people on this thread!
        So many events happening around the world I just wouldn’t know about if it were not for this site and the efforts of those contributing to the comments section!

        Reply
      • Matt

         /  November 17, 2015

        This link from the BOM relating to October sums it all up really!
        http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/month/wa/summary.shtml
        The graphics at the bottom relating to decile rank and anomaly are staggering😦

        Reply
    • Seconding Bob’s statement here. Excellent digging, Matt. I’ve really gotten a lot from everyone’s first-hand observations of events where they are. And I really appreciate so many people coming in from all over the globe to chime in.

      Reply
  12. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    When I was little boy, one spring, I spent 2 weeks in the hall way of my grade school every afternoon. When I was 20, 3 vortexs trashed my town.

    The next day , I left for Colorado.

    Reply
  13. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    Now some music, because these facts will explode our heads.

    buddy holly – well…all right

    It’s my home town , I went to his funeral with my older sister .

    Reply
    • Abel Adamski

       /  November 17, 2015

      Had all his records, Ricky Valens was a great Talent lost also
      Was never an Elvis Fan at the time

      Reply
  14. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    Later on came this –

    Reply
  15. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    Buddy Holly went to the movies at the Catus Theater in Lubbock, Texas, and saw The Searchers, he went home a wrote , “That’ll be the Day”.

    Reply
  16. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    And now something to lift us all –

    My Love Will Not Change – Del McCoury Band

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      And one more , the Texas Eagle.

      Steve Earl and the Del McCoury Band-Texas Eagle

      Reply
  17. climatehawk1

     /  November 17, 2015

    Tweeting.

    Reply
  18. mlparrish

     /  November 17, 2015

    CB “Nature is linear right up to the point when it isn’t , then it rips your head off”.

    Just for interest I calculated figures using as a basis the observed ice core values mentioned by James Hansen in ‘Storms of My Grandchildren’, i.e. 100 ppm CO2 (180-280) and 5C temperature change determine an ice age. To skip straight to the results:
    437 ppm CO2 – the level above 280 corresponding to another 5C increase in temperature. With added methane and CFCs we must be above that.
    7C temperature increase – what is expected using the current CO2e (about 500 per me, but could be higher if the methane multiplier is above 86).
    I desperately want there to be something wrong with this method, as I mentioned earlier. It’s just that the rapidity of the changes and arctic anomalies are so out of hand we are running out of descriptives in the English language.

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      mlparrish –

      I was docent at the Lubbock Lake Land Mark. The oldest continues record of man in the Western hemisphere .

      Trust me.

      “Buckle your chin strap”
      Nature is linear right up to the point when it isn’t , then it rips your head off. That is playing out tonight as I type this.

      Reply
  19. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    This why they won’t win. They don’t write this stuff.
    Take heart my friends , we are tougher than we ever dreamed of.

    They have no idea.

    Reply
  20. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    35 years ago this month, I was hunting oil on mountain top in central Utah . I had a “helper” who’s only job each morning was to build a fire, and roll a joint. While I woke-up the drill.

    I had the bit in my teeth. Now, not so many teeth.

    At mid morning, I went on a rant, because of where we were, and our time and place.

    That day I yelled that I would never be so live, and never see such sites as I was right then.
    After that , that “helper” , didn’t need words , I just looked at him, and he knew what was next.

    I was right that day. I was never so live.

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      We were going to work listening to Molly Hatchet –

      Molly Hatchet – Flirtin’ With Disaster

      Reply
      • Colorado Bob

         /  November 17, 2015

        We were really burning our candles at both ends back then . I am dumbfounded I am 66 .

        Life is truly a funny ole’ dog.

        Reply
      • Mark from OZ

         /  November 17, 2015

        Great song piks CB!
        All just ‘fit’ the feeling.
        Many thanks!
        My take is we’ll be soon be begging ‘Nature’ for a second chance.. and it will be in vain!

        Reply
  21. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    More music –

    39,000 years ago in Southeastern France , and Northern Spain, men went deep into caves to create the most perfect art any of us has ever seen.

    These were the most expensive images man ever made.
    Even when Rome came along , nothing compared to those painters in the the caves of Altamira.

    Images were once the most expensive things we ever did , now they are like leaves on a tree.

    Life is truly a funny ole’ dog.

    Reply
  22. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    Love – Forever Changes

    Reply
  23. Syd Bridges

     /  November 17, 2015

    It’s just past 10 pm here in Colorado, and it’s snowing. So Lamar Smith and Snowball must be correct. To confirm this I’ve just looked at
    http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

    I have the figures in a second window just to confirm that it’s neither my poor eyesight nor the lateness of the hour. It gives the October anomaly as 104!

    2014 73 51 78 79 86 65 57 81 89 86 68 79 74 73 64 81 68 81 2014
    2015 81 87 90 73 78 77 73 79 80 104 **** **** **** *** 82 80 76 **** 2015
    Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec J-D D-N DJF MAM JJA SON Year

    They must be in the conspireasy with NOAA, the UK Met Office and NOAA!

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      Syd Bridges –

      Breath deep , listen to the above.

      Reply
      • Colorado Bob

         /  November 17, 2015

        Syd Bridges –
        A. Lee will save your soul.
        Trust me.

        Reply
      • Colorado Bob

         /  November 17, 2015

        Oh, the snot has caked against my pants
        It has turned into crystal
        There’s a bluebird sitting on a branch
        I guess I’ll take my pistol
        I’ve got it in my hand
        Because he’s on my land

        Live and Let Live

        Reply
    • Abel Adamski

       /  November 17, 2015

      Syd, must be the hour, look straight under
      “Divide by 100 to get changes in degrees Celsius (deg-C).
      Multiply that result by 1.8(=9/5) to get changes in degrees Fahrenheit (deg-F).”

      Regards JP

      Reply
    • Syd Bridges

       /  November 17, 2015

      I meant JMA not NOAA twice. But maybe two branches of NOAA are involved. Of course, the other co-conspirators include the climate itself and the laws of physics, especially quantum mechanics and radiation physics. Come to think of it, Reality is also a co-conspirator.

      Reply
    • The records are coming in fast and furious. We have a record for Nino 3.4 from NOAA, JMA and NASA — new all time global temperature records for the month… The next four months are going to see some insane weather.

      Reply
  24. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    There is only one good thing about age. If you have half a brain , you get this golden telescope . And you can see so far from your own world.
    As a young man I sneered at this idea.

    Life is truly a funny ole’ dog.

    Reply
  25. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    Love Forever Changes

    Well I remember when you used to look so good
    And I did everything that I possibly could for you
    We used to ride around all over town
    But they’re puttin’ you down for bein’ around with me

    But you can go ahead if you want to
    ‘Cause I ain’t got no papers on you

    In the middle of the summer I had a job bein’ a plumber
    Just to pass till the fall it was you I wanna ball all day
    Ah-we were walkin’ along, honey, hand in hand
    I’m a-thinkin’ of you, mama, when you’re thinkin’ of another man

    But you can go ahead if you want to
    ‘Cause I ain’t got no papers on you
    No I don’t, I ain’t got no papers on myself

    All alone on the bone when I didn’t have a home
    When I saw the way I was and I knew where I was supposed to be
    I was twitchin’ so I turned and it’s really hard to learn
    That everyone I saw was just another part of me

    But you can go ahead if you want to
    ‘Cause nobody’s got no papers on you
    No babe, it’s just a falsehood

    Written by:

    Arthur Lee

    Bummer in the Summer

    Reply
  26. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    The hard thing here is about a third of us will be crapping in our pants when climate change really starts to bite, That can be exported to Japan, and Russia as well.

    ,em>Oh, the snot has caked against my pants
    It has turned into crystal

    What is that old phrase ? Oh yes, ” Thinning the herd”.

    Bummer in the Summer
    Arthur Lee

    Reply
  27. doug

     /  November 17, 2015

    This song is thirty years old. It’s beautiful, deep and haunting. You can’t get it out of your head either. https://m.youtube.com/?

    Reply
  28. doug

     /  November 17, 2015

    Link didn’t work. Oh well..Go to YouTube and type in “highwaymen”.

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      doug

      Go to the page in question not subject.

      Reply
    • Abel Adamski

       /  November 17, 2015

      Actually on that page I went to a song I haven’t heard in a long time. The Doors – The End
      The comments are excellent, especially fo youtube

      Reply
  29. Colorado Bob

     /  November 17, 2015

    Earlier today I was on Dr. Masters thread.

    The subject of Aztecs vs Cortez came up. “Who was most foul” ?
    The Aztec priests skinned their first victims , and wore their skins as they conducted the ritual.

    This was based on the idea that the Sun would not come up, if they failed to do this.
    I was reminded of that when Paris came to us.
    Then this morning , I saw Pat Robertson . Calling for killing every Muslim jihadie . Pat didn’t say how to winnow out the herd. It seems we are in a world where all of us are wearing the skins of our victims.

    Reply
    • Colorado Bob

       /  November 17, 2015

      The Aztec priests , that for my money is real “old time religion”. And when Cortez showed up with a hand full of men , tens of thousands of their neighbors fell in right behind him.
      And we have never seen that religious idea since then.

      Reply
      • Colorado Bob

         /  November 17, 2015

        It seems we are in a world where all of us are wearing the skins of our victims.

        Somewhere Saddam is laughing his ass off.

        Reply
    • – Thanks, Adam.
      It’s quite disturbing that so much visual, or perceptual filtering takes place among observers.
      When seeing my doctor in Santa Barbara there was a nice family photo of the doctor and his smiling family at some smoggy overlook in Sedona, AZ. The pace was smothered in pink and gray particulate but everyone was smiling — while I cringed.
      Modern day Homo saps…

      Reply
  30. entropicman

     /  November 17, 2015

    To emphasise the scale of recent warming.

    The GISS global land+ocean average for October is out.

    1.04C is the highest anomaly in the monthly record since it began in 1880.

    It is the first monthly anomaly above 1.0C.

    Second place is 0.90C in March this year.

    It brings the year to date average to 0.82C, up by 0.08C from the 2014 record of 0.74.

    Reply
    • entropicman

       /  November 17, 2015

      Oops. Egg on my face. Nick Stokes pointed out the 2nd highest month is January 2007 with 0.97C.

      Reply
      • It’s a big jump regardless. Earlier guidance had us coming in at 1.01 C in NASA. So this is hotter than expected. November could be hotter. In fact, all of the next 4 months are likely to hit some pretty amazing extremes given with we’re seeing in the Equatorial Pacific at the moment.

        Reply
  31. danabanana

     /  November 17, 2015

    “No, instead they were the unwitting victims of choices made by the many previous generations who failed or neglected to rein in the power of the fossil fuel giants before climate catastrophes could begin to take hold.”

    We’re all victims.

    The choices already made and the choices that we will make are all based, not in rational arguments, but on keeping dopamine flowing. In the case of CO2, the fossil fuel industry has ensured that their (DP) flow kept going in spite of the many years of scientific awareness of the Greenhouse effect.

    It is generally said that is all about greedy people, but in the end it is Dopamine that drives Greed, not the people themselves.

    “Most types of reward increase the level of dopamine in the brain, and most addictive drugs increase dopamine neuronal activity”

    I happen to have a DP deficiency which puts me in a unique position as I rarely (if ever) got hooked in any of the dopamine driven destructive human activities. Unfortunately, like all addictive behaviours, accepting that there is a problem is the first step but with DP this may prove nearly impossible to accept.

    “”The world we have created is a product of our thinking; it cannot be changed without changing our thinking.””

    A. Einstein

    Reply
    • Paul

       /  November 17, 2015

      …and if we cannot change our thinking?

      Reply
      • danabanana

         /  November 17, 2015

        …we carry on this downward spiral, carry on filling the environment with highly toxic and dangerous pollutants for the sake of having a ‘comfortable life’.

        The first change should be rewards for the right actions. To alter how we as society reward. Right now we reward greed, mass consumerism, profits, growth, the self (Social media, Vacuous Celebritism) but punish or deny rewards for renewables, recycling, being eco-friendly, etc.

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reward_system

        Do you think this first change can be achieved by all 7billion of us?

        Reply
      • Greg

         /  November 17, 2015

        7 billion people can change most non-biochemically driven behaviors, even seemingly addictive ones, with the right rewards and costs. Just got back from a couple of days at the National Radio Astronomy Observatory in Green Bank West Virginia which lies in an unusual electromagnetic quiet zone that extends beyond the valley :

        http://www.cnn.com/interactive/2015/07/us/quiet-town-american-story/

        It’s the kind of place where you have a taste of a probable future for a developed society where extremely high technology meets low. I couldn’t use a cell phone, microwave, even a digital camera to take pix. No spark plugs in ICE engines on grounds. Residents in the valley are accustomed to it and yet benefit in a myriad of ways, mostly social. Yes, a gov’t spy truck has to plow the valley looking for lawbreakers which are easy to spot as a cell phone puts out 3 watts and the observatory itself can detect a billionth of a billionth of a millionth of a watt from outer space. The right incentives and fees/punishments and human behavior can change rapidly. As for myself I dropped my phone in my lap immediately while talking to my wife (“later honey, sorry”) as I crossed from Virginia into West Virginia and right after the border I saw a local patrol car. I remembered a friend got a big fine last month under the new no cell law while driving there. Truly sensible law really to protect people from idiots like me. Carbon, and other heat trapping gas, polluting will become legally and culturally ugly in our lifetimes, and we will change many, many behaviors as a result. The incentivizing of carbon capture will be the new greed. It will help immeasurably to all be in this ride together.

        Reply
    • Addict behavior is no way to run a civilization. However, it’s a fantastic way to wreck it. Great points here.

      Reply
  32. Jean

     /  November 17, 2015

    Kansas w record # tornadoes this time of year..http://www.kansas.com/news/weather/article45167823.html
    Pending a review of the reports, it’s unprecedented for the state as a whole, too.

    State climatologist Mary Knapp said the 23 reports from Monday top the 19 tornadoes that touched down on Nov. 27, 2005. Ten tornadoes occurred on Nov. 17, 1958.No injuries!

    Reply
  1. Polar Amplification, El Nino or Both? NASA Shows October of 2015 Was Hotter Than all the 1617 Previous Months | robertscribbler

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