Famine Warning Issued in Four Countries Following Worst African Droughts in Decades

Abnormally warm West Pacific sea surface temperatures — in part driven by a weak La Nina, in part driven by global warming — produced changes in atmospheric circulation that considerably reduced rainfall over Eastern and Southern Africa during 2016. As a result, places like Rwanda, Kenya, Eithiopia, South Sudan, and Somalia experienced some of their worst droughts in decades.

global-food-crisis-70-million-people

(According to the Famine Early Warning Network,  more than 70 million people are facing hunger around the world in 2017. The primary causes include drought, military conflict, and lack of ability of nations to access food on the international market. Four countries — Yemen, Somalia, South Sudan and Nigeria — now face famine. And drought and conflict stricken Africa is the primary hot-spot for global hunger. Climate change has likely worsened this situation by adding to the intensity of droughts and heatwaves now affecting the region. In addition, past year droughts in places like Yemen and Nigeria helped to inflame present conflict and instability. Image source: Famine Early Warning Network.)

Additionally, conflict combined with the after effect of a 2014-2015 drought has disrupted food and water access in Yemen. Meanwhile, Nigeria’s falling purchasing power following a 2015 drought has rendered it unable to reliably procure food locally or on the international market.

These synergistic factors have forced plummeting food production and food security throughout Africa and nearby Middle Eastern countries. And now four nations — Somalia, South Sudan, Yemen and Nigeria — have been placed under a famine alert. In these countries alone, 20 million people face starvation and the world-over more than 70 million people are under threat from hunger.

The Climate Connection: Very Warm West Pacific = Drought in East Africa

La Nina is often identified as a period when rainfall in East Africa abates — producing an increased risk of drought. This cyclical African weather pattern is primarily produced by a pooling of warm water in the West Pacific that, in turn, alters atmospheric circulation patterns the world over.

abnormally-warm-west-pacific-waters-late-2016

(Very warm sea surface temperatures helped to produce a severe 2016 drought in East Africa. Somalia, which was particularly hard-hit, is now facing famine. Image source: Earth Nullschool.)

During 2016-2017, the La Nina was comparatively weak. However, sea surface temperature anomalies in the Western Pacific hit rather high readings over large ocean regions. The net effect to East Africa appeared similar to what would typically be experienced during a stronger La Nina event.

This cyclical climate event also occurred during a year when overall global temperatures were around 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer than 1880s averages. For 2016, overall temperatures in the drought impacted regions averaged between 0.5 and 2 C warmer than normal. And this added heat would have amplified any droughts that did form by increasing the rate at which moisture was evaporated out of soils and rivers. Furthermore, temperatures over the Western Pacific teleconnection zone also deviated by +0.5 to +2 C above average ranges. As a result of these prevalent warmer conditions, impacts related to human-caused climate change cannot be entirely ignored as part of the overall drought and food-stress signal.

Somalia Hit Hard

Among the four countries now facing famine alerts, the various climate and climate change related impacts appear most acute for Somalia. Back in 2011, another La Nina and associated warm western Pacific surface waters helped to produce a famine that killed 260,000 people. Now, just six years later, a record warm world and La Nina are serving up these severe conditions again.

october-through-december-rainfall-somalia

Two rainy seasons failed back to back in the water stressed nation during 2015 and 2016. And from October through December of 2016, large parts of Somalia received less than 30 percent of the typical rainfall for the period. Now a national disaster has been declared as 6.2 million people (or about half the country’s population) is at risk from hunger.

This week, Somalia’s President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo issued an urgent call for aid:

“We must provide immediate and potential assistance to avert widespread starvation and death. I appeal to all donors to provide the necessary fund for immediate and emergency assistance.”

Conditions in Context — Climate Change Proliferates Drought, Food Insecurity

2017’s famine alert is Somalia’s second in six years and its third in 25. And the various famine alerts that are presently ongoing all occur in states that have suffered from drought and water stress in the past five years. Instability and conflict are often identified as the cause of food stress. But drought is a trigger condition under which multi-year instability and conflict can emerge (as we have so vividly and tragically seen in Syria). In this way, drought and conflict interact in a chicken and egg relationship to produce reduced food security. And it’s a situation that’s exacerbated by warming global surface temperatures.

Unfortunately, with global temperatures likely to increase by another 0.3 to 0.6 C over the next two decades, food stress and related instability are a rising risk for this and other regions of the world. More intense drought, shifting climate zones, and changing precipitation patterns all help to increase that risk. And, at this point, the various food crises the world is presently experiencing are difficult to divorce from it.

Links:

Famine Early Warning Network

Earth Nullschool

NASA GISS

Global Drought Map

Somalia Declares National Disaster Over Drought

Somalia President Declares Drought a National Emergency

Earth Observatory: Drought in East Africa

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84 Comments

  1. coloradobob

     /  March 1, 2017

    Once again you bring many threads together to weave a more complete picture

    Reply
    • coloradobob

       /  March 1, 2017

      It is a gift, to tell a greater story from the bits and pieces that float by every day. I gift I once had, but have lost.

      Reply
      • Cate

         /  March 2, 2017

        Ditto here, cb. Thank goodness for RS, who has the gift in spades.

        Reply
        • Thanks, Cate. It’s short, but I worked on this one for a decent bit. Means a lot coming from another talented writer.

      • Thanks so much for the kind words, old friend. I hope all is well with you. It’s been a pretty rough few months for most everyone who cares about this country and the state of our world, I think.

        Reply
  2. coloradobob

     /  March 1, 2017

    Now to read this grim news .

    Reply
  3. Reblogged this on "OUR WORLD".

    Reply
  4. climatehawk1

     /  March 1, 2017

    Tweet scheduled.

    Reply
  5. coloradobob

     /  March 1, 2017

    We now hate aid. Who will step up ?

    China.

    Reply
  6. Ailsa

     /  March 2, 2017

    This is dreadful. Its all so dreadful, and its only going to get worse. My heart breaks daily, and I know I have to keep reading, keep looking, keep on somehow. The guilt of knowing my privileged position in the affluent West, the fear of the unraveling that is just getting faster and faster. Fighting the sense of disempowerment. Trying to reassure myself that I’ve been doing (and continue to do) all I can in my own small way with my local community.

    We are truly in dark, dark times. We cannot close our eyes and our hearts. Lighting a candle in this darkness is often so hard. Come together. Keep trying. Thank you to everyone here.

    Reply
    • Cate

       /  March 2, 2017

      And thank you, Ailsa. What you said, every word, I too feel. Come together. Keep trying. As Bob says, Stand up. Never lie down.

      Reply
    • Becky

       /  March 2, 2017

      Imagine what we could do to help, but instead we are going to add 56 billion to our defense budget and build a “great wall” to keep people out. I’m heartbroken and ashamed of our country.

      Reply
      • This kind of inward turning is how collapse happens. It’s a conflict multiplier. Retraction and retrenchment and abandonment of the world we helped to make — for good and for ill — will only bring the wolves to the gate sooner. Some would probably say that at least a few of the wolves are already here…

        Reply
        • mulga mumblebrain

           /  March 4, 2017

          Homo homini lupus, I fear. We don’t have wolves here, however-ours are wolverines aka ‘gluttons’. The specialise in shitting in their own, and everybody else’s, nests.

  7. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    This is dreadful. Its all so dreadful, and its only going to get worse

    The conditions have over run the politics .

    Reply
  8. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    An old dead backman was right –

    Get Up Stand Up
    Bob Marley

    Get Up Stand Up
    Bob Marley
    Ey, get up, stand up, stand up for your rights!
    Get up, stand up, don’t give up the fight!
    Get up, stand up, stand up for your rights!
    Get up, stand up, don’t give up the fight!
    Preacher man, don’t tell me
    Heaven is under the earth
    I know you don’t know
    What life is really worth
    It’s not all that glitters is gold
    Half the story has never been told
    And now you see the light
    You stand up for your rights
    Get up, stand up, stand up for your rights!
    Get up, stand up, don’t give up the fight!
    Get up, stand up, stand up for your rights!
    Get up, stand up, don’t give up the fight!
    You see, most people think
    Great God will come from the sky
    Take away everything
    And make everybody feel high
    But if you know what life is worth
    You would look for yours on earth
    And now…

    Reply
  9. What are the chances of Trumps America sending aid to help these poor people. Not very high I would think.

    Reply
  10. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    I am so sick. In life, . ..and all this mess .
    It as all ground round me to a bright shiny pesto. With little success.
    There is nothing but bitter bitter old herbs.
    And nothing around me. But whinnying and verbs.

    Reply
  11. Shell Knew Too!

    Remarkably prescient film by Royal Dutch Shell from 1991 – Climate of Concern – On Peter Sinclair’s blog.

    First half states the problem, and could have been produced just yesterday. Another pointer to corporate greed and sociopathy. What a waste of 25+ years. 😦

    Second half proposes actions – favouring the oil business and “efficiency” of course. Refers somewhat disdainfully to Solar, Wind Nuclear etc, but at least mentions them. Totally obsolete now. Need much more than FF efficiency.

    Reply
    • Vic

       /  March 2, 2017

      Exhibit A in the Shell hearings of the Great Ecocide Trials of the late 2020s.

      Reply
      • mulga mumblebrain

         /  March 4, 2017

        Vic, I’d give up the habit of a lifetime and vote, and vote for any party that promises, written in blood, at a cross-roads, on All Hallows Eve, that they would bring the big denialists, in the fossil fuel industry and the fake-stream media, to justice.

        Reply
    • Vic

       /  March 2, 2017

      Reply
  12. Greg

     /  March 2, 2017

    All that is great can be taken away and all that is terrible can be returned- without vigilance:

    Reply
  13. Greg

     /  March 2, 2017

    Not famine but part of the climate story.

    Reply
  14. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    The Wrecking Crew: How Conservatives Rule

    by Thomas Frank
    From the author of the landmark bestseller What?s the Matter with Kansas?, a jaw-dropping investigation of the decades of deliberate?and lucrative?conservative misrule

    In his previous book, Thomas Frank explained why working America votes for politicians who reserve their favors for the rich. Now, in The Wrecking Crew, Frank examines the blundering and corrupt Washington those politicians have given us.

    Casting back to the early days of the conservative revolution, Frank describes the rise of a ruling coalition dedicated to dismantling government. But rather than cutting down the big government they claim to hate, conservatives have simply sold it off, deregulating some industries, defunding others, but always turning public policy into a private-sector bidding war. Washington itself has been remade into a golden landscape of super-wealthy suburbs and gleaming lobbyist headquarters?the wages of government-by-entrepreneurship practiced so outrageously by figures such as Jack Abramoff.

    It is no coincidence, Frank argues, that the same politicians who guffaw at the idea of effective government have installed a regime in which incompetence is the rule. Nor will the country easily shake off the consequences of deliberate misgovernment through the usual election remedies. Obsessed with achieving a lasting victory, conservatives have taken pains to enshrine the free market as the permanent creed of state.

    Stamped with Thomas Frank?s audacity, analytic brilliance, and wit, The Wrecking Crew is his most revelatory work yet?and his most important.

    http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/3351062-the-wrecking-crew

    Reply
    • Greg

       /  March 2, 2017

      Spot on. What a train wreck.

      Reply
    • mulga mumblebrain

       /  March 2, 2017

      It is the same in Australia. Rightwing ideology is a manifestation of psychopathy, and most psychopaths are not intelligent. There are a few who are, and they are very dangerous, but most are archetypal ‘Dunning-Krugerites’, too dumb to understand just how stupid they are, but so egotistical as to think themselves geniuses. The relationship between intelligence and compassion and empathy is too plain, really, to need any advocacy.
      As a result of Rightwing dominance we have had twenty years of increasingly deranged, brutish and shockingly incompetent Federal Government, all egged on by the Murdoch machine, which is pure psychotic malevolence in every way. It takes some bravery to stand up to these monsters, because the Murdoch machine specialises in vilification and truly vicious vendettas where all the opinion hacks, editorialists and its hate-mongering ‘cartoonists’ are turned on particular victims, who are seen as representing some group targeted for political advantage, like Moslems, unionists or Greens.
      For one example of hundreds, when confronted over the relationship between coal-mining (which the regime, a heavy recipient of fossil fuel industry largesse, worships)and the bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef, a senior Minister, ie one of the people that run the country, declared that there was no relationship between the two, because the new, gargantuan, Adani coal-mine was 300 miles inland, therefore far from the sea and the late, great, Reef. He seemed quite pleased with his cleverness, and the hack refused to deride his idiocy, or even comment on it.

      Reply
  15. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    The Wrecking Crew:

    Every headline must been seen through this lense. .
    Only when they destroy everything will they be happy.

    It’s a pathologic rush to the bottom of a trash can.

    Reply
  16. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    This is why I post videos here & I’m not dead. I am stunned, I am lost. I am over run. I am old. I am not dead.

    As an army here, you people are pool girls , looking for a free week end , these guys will rape you in the first year of gym class.

    Sorry for the use of words , but if I had way to explain it better I would.

    You guys better get a lot meaner , and get a lot smarter .

    This is a pathological movement .

    Quit being a tender pigeon,

    Try nasty jackass.

    Reply
    • Ailsa

       /  March 2, 2017

      Bob, please, this is nasty. You know nothing of my life history. Please, have a little more care.

      I am not stupid, I am not a tender pigeon, and yes, I was abused when young and vulnerable. Its a very hard world, and many if not all of us know this as well as you.

      Reply
    • Hey Bob, can we please try to lighten the tone just a little. It’s tough times for everyone. And there are many of us doing all in our power to change things. I know you didn’t try to single anyone out. But this kind of comment isn’t a help.

      Reply
  17. Greg

     /  March 2, 2017

    On a lighter note. This is what 850 GW’s of solar looks like from Space, courtesy of NASA. The Chinese now have the largest solar plant in the world.

    Reply
    • Greg

       /  March 2, 2017

      Make that MegaWatts

      Reply
    • Hell of a shot there, Greg. Looks like we’re in for another 80 GW of new solar during 2017. The renewable energy beat goes on and continues to pick up despite amazing attempts at political opposition around the world.

      Ironically, growth for many economies is now predicated on growth in renewable energy. This kind of growth, however, will de-grow the kinds of harmful externalities that put the Earth’s carrying capacity at increasing risk. That’s a narrative that I think many have missed. Renewables right now represent our best hope for rapidly cutting carbon emissions.

      Many countries at risk for financial crisis this year. Political instability and a return to nationalism now threatens the global economy. Add in debt crisis risk in many countries including the U.S. and there’s a potential that we might be blind sided. Proliferation of protectionism, tariffs, the potential for sparking trade wars, and the failure on the part of right wing governments to raise tax revenues from wealthy citizens and corporations all add to the risk (by worsening debt crisis issues).

      Not a sure thing. But a lot of clouds out there. Trump of course has made everything worse. Stock market euphoria right now could be equated to spitting into the wind. Give the market what it wants and it always booms before it realizes that everything it wanted just made the wheels fall off all over again.

      Reply
  18. Andy_in_SD

     /  March 2, 2017

    The planet has entered a new climatic state (the first transition is complete). It will take time for humans to adapt, in the meantime they will become more desperate.

    Look at the cave dwellers in So Colorado / N Mexico. They did not migrate immediately once the climate changed, they fought it and wished it away.

    This has been repeated worldwide since humans made settlements. It is occurring now (Saana for example).

    For the human race, it must get worse before we truly adjust. What makes this worse, this new climatic state is likely not the final one.

    Reply
  19. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    In a new Make America Great Again . I can cut cat food in your tacos . Live long and Prosper. I can pee in your tea, And as long as I have battery of lawyers. Make America Great Again .

    Reply
  20. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    I remember Pre-Nixon air. The Chinese are dealing with that same dragon . One like we never saw. Their dragon is our dragon now. We all ride and die on the same dragon now.

    Reply
  21. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Sweet Jim , why am I such a fool ?

    Reply
    • wharf rat

       /  March 2, 2017

      It’s a dirty job, but somebody has to do it, Captain.

      Reply
  22. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Andy_in_SD

    Your view of this world is wrong. I have seen this first hand, I read about it. They didn’t sit there waiting for the change. When things really got bad they ate each other.
    My Hopi friends would yell no, no, no.

    But my understanding of the Southwest , I’ll put up against any fool on the web. . Ain’t bad.

    I’ve been to Yellow Jacket. At the peak at Mesa Verde, there were 10,000 people living around Yellow Jacket. A world America has never seen.

    Reply
    • Andy_in_SD

       /  March 2, 2017

      The issue is raw numbers (of people) who have no concept of true survival. If you have 2 to 7 million people (well over the 10,000 in Yellow Jacket) in an area that runs out of water, that’s tough to reconcile. People will use pipes, canals etc… to maintain status quo as long as possible. Eventually it gets to tough to sustain, and there is no benefit to maintaining that settlement.

      How would Yellow Jacket do with 4 million people sucking up the same amount of water and battling over declining resources?

      Eventually they migrate.

      Reply
    • Bob — I don’t think Andy is wrong. He’s just opening a discussion. Everyone is free to add points. His were good. So are yours. Lets not make it personal.

      Reply
  23. Abel Adamski

     /  March 2, 2017

    https://theconversation.com/climate-changes-signature-was-writ-large-on-australias-crazy-summer-of-2017-73854

    The NSW record average summer temperatures can indeed be linked directly to climate change. We have reached this conclusion using two separate methods of analysis.

    Reply
  24. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Andy
    The people at Chaco hauled over 50,000 logs. Some over 30 inches in diameter, to roof that place . Over more than 50 miles. I have been there , and many more places no one has ever heard of. Please never lecture me about the collapse of the culture in the 4 Corners.

    Reply
    • Andy_in_SD

       /  March 2, 2017

      I am not lecturing you or anyone. Don’t jump to conclusions telling me what I am thinking. That really pisses me off.

      Just sharing my thoughts, if they are not welcome, I accept that.

      And again, I am not lecturing you, will not lecture you, have not intention of lecturing you (or anyone). But damn, you really seem to do so. I thought this was a collaborative forum, not just your rant space and domain.

      Bye.

      Reply
      • Andy — just my two cents. Your thoughts are always welcome.

        I think Bob has had it rough and tends to take it out on folks when he doesn’t really mean to. I do agree, though, that it would be better if he didn’t paint a target on those of us who are friends just sharing in an open discussion. I think some of it is the dead tonality of a forum. That can tend to turn an off the cuff remark sour.

        In any case, the plurality of views here is very valuable and I am always interested in hearing what you have to say.

        Reply
  25. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Mesa Verde’

    At the peak , there over 10,000 people living on the valley floor North of Mesa Verde’. They had been there for hundreds of years.

    What changed ?

    The climate , at the end they were eating each other.

    Reply
  26. Abel Adamski

     /  March 2, 2017

    The NSW record average summer temperatures can indeed be linked directly to climate change. We have reached this conclusion using two separate methods of analysis.

    https://theconversation.com/climate-changes-signature-was-writ-large-on-australias-crazy-summer-of-2017-73854

    Reply
  27. Andy_in_SD

     /  March 2, 2017

    ColoradoBob,

    The last 4 or 5 post I have made over the past couple of months have elicited personal attacks on your part towards me. I have posted less and less due to this (thus the few posts over such a period of time), yet it doesn’t stop.

    I understand, this is your forum and playground. I respect that and will take my leave until such time as you allow me to post here.

    Take care, and my best.

    Reply
    • coloradobob

       /  March 2, 2017

      Oh Andy , I love your comments. Please never think I pick on you. This such a rotten way to say what we all think.

      Reply
    • Andy,

      If It matters, I’d prefer that you not stop posting. I generally find your posts thoughtful and informative, and I appreciate your taking the time to contribute.

      Tom

      Reply
      • mulga mumblebrain

         /  March 4, 2017

        Yes, Andy-cut Bob some slack, and keep on contributing. He’s just very sad, like the rest of us, and expresses it his way. His heart’s in the right place, and is broken. The heart of the world is broken, truth be told.

        Reply
  28. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    What changed ?

    The climate , at the end they were eating each other.

    These are the folks who stayed Everyone put up a fight. In the end they were driven off their land. All everyone them. The drought didn’t give a rats fuzzy butt about them.

    Everyone left. I mean everyone.

    Reply
  29. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    I don’t pick on anyone here.
    But I am not rug.

    Please, never think I was attacking you. Who ever you are.

    You just sterved the pot , and I always want more salt.

    Remember this is a poor way to talk. It’s great for bibles.

    Reply
  30. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    I am so sorry to anyone who feels I have attacked, or picked on them. You just trigger my mind. . Believe me I carry malicious , but not here, not to any of you.

    When I come after your mother and your birth , then I am attacking. Otherwise , I’m just arguing .

    Please everyone , understand when Andy comes to Lubbock I will be a happy man.

    Reply
  31. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    I’ve been to the border with a 54 ft, trailer. Empty and alone Many many times empty and sad. Every time I came away happy and to say. . Because I always never alone.
    Here’s the way Buddy’s ghost works. Dozens of folks are guided by him. Most never have a clue. But one thing is true when we never had cue, Buddy was there in foul weather or fair.

    The ghost of Buddy Holly takes care of dozens of people. No matter how small they are.

    I don’t believe in God, but I’m 100% with the ghost

    Reply
  32. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Every one out Lubbock comes at you with this since 1958 .

    Reply
  33. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Reply
  34. coloradobob

     /  March 2, 2017

    Reply
  35. Abel Adamski

     /  March 2, 2017

    China shift to renewables transforms world’s biggest polluter from ‘climate bad boy’ into ‘true leader’
    By China correspondent Bill Birtles
    Updated about 10 hours ago

    Related Story: China’s coal likely peaked in 2013, now set to plummet: report
    Related Story: China to spend $493 billion on green power push

    A third consecutive year of falling coal consumption and a renewable energy spending spree has made China the new global leader on climate change, some environmental groups claim.
    Key points:

    Figures from China’s national bureau of statistics revealed a 4.7 per cent fall in coal consumption in 2016
    Greenpeace spokesman Li Shuo says “China has transformed itself from [a] climate bad boy”
    The country has embarked on a $474b renewable energy program

    Figures from China’s National Bureau of Statistics this year revealed a 4.7 per cent year-on-year fall in coal consumption in 2016.

    Coal production dropped even more, and the latest figures confirm a three-year trend of declining coal use for the country’s massive electricity grid.

    “China has transformed itself from climate bad boy into a reluctant leader, and at the Paris climate change talks, really a true leader,” said Greenpeace East Asia’s spokesman Li Shuo.

    As part of commitments made in the global Paris Climate agreement, China will introduce a cap on coal and seek to peak its carbon dioxide emissions by 2030.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-03-02/china-coal-cuts-and-renewables-transform-climate-change-leader/8316660

    Reply
  36. John McCormick

     /  March 2, 2017

    Robert, any connection between Horn of Africa drought, famine and expanding Hadley Cell north and South? Mogadishu is on the Equator.

    Reply
    • Yes. The expanding Hadley Cell is related to the poleward movement of climate zones and with the inexorably increasing temperatures in the Equatorial region. Though it’s warming slower there than at the poles, the threshold for loss of habitable and arable lands is considerably lower. Somalia is also one of the highest risk regions for loss of habitability due to increasing temperature (as indicated in the recent Max Plank Institute study).

      Reply
  37. Why are the Poles, Heating Up Twice as Fast as the Hemispheres.

    Causing the Arctic and Antarctica to be 20C. an Higher, Temps Way Warmer than Normal !

    The Jet Stream of Old is Gone !

    Once a Hexagonal Formation of Winter White Freezing Electrons, Atoms, and Molecules, Emanating from the Waxing and Waning Arctic,

    No Longer Keep the Northern Hemisphere in Ice and Snow,

    Greenland Does, All Because of Burning Fossil Fuels !

    What we have now, is a Broken Up Jet Stream,

    That has been Pierced, and Lobed,

    Because of Mantle Methane, Methane Hydrates, and Emitting over 40 Billion Toxic Tons of Carbon each year Globally.

    All this Hot Gas has Pierced the Jet Stream in to Lobes,

    The Hot Gas Fueled with the Insane Arctic, Greenland, and Antarctic Ice Melts.

    Has Roared its Global Warming Frontal Lobes with Record Setting Temperatures and Record Setting Snow, and Record Setting Rain.

    These Methane, and Carbon Molecules Have Roared Their Increased Water Vapor and Global Warming Gases, That will Set Record Heat, Record Snow, Until Greenland is 1/2 melted.

    Then Just Record Rain and Record Heat, Year After Fossil Fuel, Nuclear Radiated Year. (Fukushima) ( 450 Nuclear Reactors at Sea Level )

    Isostatic Rebounding of Greenlands Tectonic Plate, affecting (Gakkels Rift), causing Earthquakes in the Arctic, as well as Venting Mantle Methane.

    Arctic News Sept. 15 2013

    “ As more ice melts away on Greenland and more water runs off in the Ocean and Sea, There is less weight on Greenlands Crust, the Crust Bouncing back from the lighter weight.

    The Crust bouncing back during Large Melts an effect called Isostatic Rebounding.

    This Rebounding can not Only Trigger Earthquakes and Landslides, it can also Suck Up the Magma from the Mantle.

    It Also Sucks Up Magma From The Mantle.

    It also Sucks Up Mantle Methane !

    Triggering Volcanic Eruptions and Venting Mantle Methane.

    Methane Hydrates in Siberia, Studied by Natalia Shakhov, Have Revealed a Steady and Alarming Readings in Methane Hydrate Emissions

    In 2006 3.8 Million Tons

    In 2013 17 Million Tons

    In 2015 New 200 Foot

    Wide Methane Blow Holes, called PINGOES, Over 20 and Increasing in Number !

    In 2017 Robert Schribbler reported a Spike on Feb. 20 Methane Readings At 3,000ppb.

    Methane 1870 722ppb

    2011 1800

    2014 1850

    Natalia Shakhov, estimated over 1,400 Billion Tons of Methane Hydrates in Siberian Permafrost and Arctic Sea Floor,

    She is Expecting a Geological Burp to Emit Over 50 Billon Tons of Methane Hydrate Some Time, That Will Increase Methane in Our Atmosphere and Stratosphere by a Factor of 12 Times !

    US Federal Reserve Fossil Fuel Extracting, and Fracking, Rolling Over life Saving Federal Regulation That Said We Our Suppose To Have Clean Air, Clean Water, And Clean Sustainable Eco-Systems.

    Fracking a Process of Extracting Oil and Methane ( Dirty Natural Gas),

    Injecting Cancer Causing Chemicals, Sand, and 3 – 6 Million Gallons of Drinkable Water per Well,

    At High Pressure, a Mile, to Two Miles Underground, contaminating all Soil and Water,

    That those Cancer Causing Chemicals Come in to Contact With.

    Over 10% of the United States Has Been Fracked !

    From the Coast of California, where Gov. Brown Continues to Turn, Ignoring and Allowing Fracked Water to be disposed in to Our Drinkable Water Tables.

    The Koch bros and their Paid For Legislative Policies continue To Poison Our Water, Poison Our Air, Poison Our Soil, And Poisoning All Of US.

    There Is No Atmospheric Budget For More Methane, Carbon, and Nuclear Radiation!

    Greenland has 20 feet of Sea Level Rise

    Antarctica has 200 feet of Sea Level Rise

    They are both Melting and Calving at 600 times Faster than Previously Thought, increasing expotentially.

    Question is,

    Which One Will Melt First ?

    And When ?

    When should you Move to above 3,000 feet, and Start Growing Your Own Food ?

    Maybe Never ?

    Maybe Tomorrow ?

    With 350 Nuclear Reactors at Sea Level, We have to have a Discussion and Plan to Decommission and Relocate to Above 3,000 Feet All Nuclear Elements.

    Who Pays ?

    The Richest in Land

    And The Richest in Money.

    Queen of England,

    Vatican,

    US Federal Reserve.

    We Our Already Baked in to 10C. – ? Tempurature Rise, Even if We Stopped Emitting Carbon and Methane Right Now.

    There is a 10 year Lag time with Methane,

    And a 30 to 50 year Lag Time with Carbon,

    Until we Fill the Full Effects of the Warming (Heating) and Holding More Water Vapor in Their Molecules.

    Methane is 72 – 86 Times more Potent Than Carbon in Its First 10 years.

    Then Reduces Down to and Stays at Around 34 Times More Potent Than Carbon !

    For every 72 pounds of Carbon Being Emitted, Equals One Pound Of Methane.

    Methane + Carbon + Water Vapor is Abrupt Hot and Cold, Rain and Snow ( Until Greenland is Half Melted Away), Sea Level Rising way Faster Than they are Telling US

    We are Filling the Full Potency of Methane From 2007 Fracking Emissions, Methane Hydrates Emissions, and Mantle Methane Emissions Today.

    We are Filling The Full Potency of Carbon emitted From 1967 to 1987 ! Right Now.

    We Our Baked in To 10C. to ? Temp Rise Right Now ! Even if We Stopped emitting Today.

    Methane is the Not Clean Natural Gas, it is a Abrupt Global Warming Molecule That Holds Lots Of Water Vapor and Heat.

    Methane Holds Huge Amounts of Water Vapor and Heat, much more Than Carbon !

    The Fossil Fuel Co. Have Lied, Denied, and Purposely Distorted, to Bridge Their Continued Extracting of these Fossil Fuels, Destroying our Fragile Life Sustaining Eco-Systems and Animals (us) .

    Now is The time to change Federal and State energy and Water Policies !

    Published on Oct 11, 2014
    Campaign to allow Californian residents to sell electricity obtained by renewable energy for a fair pro-business market price. Will you read, sign, and share this petition?

    http://signon.org/sign/let-california

    Reply
  38. June

     /  March 2, 2017

    In these times of desperate need, we have the hyper-nationalism and utter lack of compassion of the Trump administration and Republicans in general. They want to slash foreign aid, including development aid and emergency aid, knowing full well that it will result in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. It is unconscionable. Where are the Christian values that they are so quick to proclaim are America’s values? They care only for furthering their own power and wealth. The callousness and hypocrisy are disgusting.

    Reply
    • mulga mumblebrain

       /  March 4, 2017

      June, their ‘Christian values’ are Old Testament values, not those of the Nazarene. They are Gadarenes, infested with demons.

      Reply
  39. Just a general note asking everyone to be kind to each other here. In so many ways, and ever moreso now, we’re all that we’ve got.

    Reply
    • wili

       /  March 2, 2017

      +1

      Reply
      • Ailsa

         /  March 2, 2017

        Thank you Robert for your measured, careful and kind dealing to all in this space.

        I could rant and rave in fury. I could dissolve into sobbing sadness. I have done both and much more over the years. But here is not the place. For me, this is a place to strive for sanity and understanding. Its a lifesaver that I deeply appreciate.

        That having been said, I am now off to throw some crockery against a wall and then have a good stiff drink! Blessings to you all as I just check out for a short while.

        Reply
    • John S

       /  March 2, 2017

      +3 …that’s plus one each from my grand-daughters

      Reply
    • mulga mumblebrain

       /  March 4, 2017

      I second the emotion.

      Reply
  40. We are now in a period of ever increasing crises due to our leaders lack of understanding the implications of unfettered fossil fuel extraction and use. The new administration’s near total denial of the ever increasing climate and poisoning crisis seems to heading toward the cliff of no return. I don’t know what to do. I lament the loss of all the living organisms due to some humans total disregard of the complex webs of life and the systems they support. Earth is heating. Earth is being poisoned. Humans are warring and expanding the capacity for war and rapid destruction of civilization; there’s no end in sight, at least in the near future. Even the tone of the regular contributors on this site are changing as the crisis deepens, and still I don’t know what to do. Perhaps writing here helps me cope and I want to thank Robert for all his hard work for this site as it’s one place that doesn’t have the ‘fake news’ of the MSM that I loathe. Some of the youth ‘get it’ and I feel it’s up to them to save Earth, for if not who will? The Ol’ Hippy.

    Reply
  41. After re-reading some of the comments I noticed they they appear ‘darker than in times past. Nothing has happened recently to make me feel otherwise. There doesn’t seem to be any leaders in the US that will speak out on the magnitude of the growing criticism. Its just how to proceed with business as usual. Well it’s not working anymore and our insular existence here shields us mostly from the horrors abroad. Dark days are on the horizon and there won;t be any way to subvert them. The Ol’ Hippy,

    Reply
  1. New Research Shows Global Warming Could Turn Tropics Into a Sweltering Dead Zone | robertscribbler

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