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Hot Blob off Southeast Australia Fuels Life-Threatening Rain Bomb Event

Hot Blobs. These pools of severe warmth at the ocean surface have, during recent years, fueled all kinds of climate change related extreme weather ranging from droughts to floods to record hurricanes.

(Hot blob southeast of Australia features ocean temperatures as high as 8 F [4.5 C] above average. This is an extreme climate and severe weather-triggering feature related to climate change. One that has also been associated with strong, persistent atmospheric ridges and related high pressure systems. Image source: Earth Nullschool.)

The blobs themselves often form under persistent and strong high pressure systems which lock-in both heat and high rates of evaporation. These highs, sometimes called resilient ridges, are thought by a number of experts to be an upshot of changes to both atmospheric circulation and energy balance as a result of the Earth warming. They are an example of the kinds of extreme climate and related severe weather triggering outliers you would tend to expect in a warming world. A new kind of weather phenomena producing new effects.

Today, sea surface temperatures between Australia and New Zealand are ranging as high as 8 F (4.5 C) above average. A very significant warm temperature departure for this area of ocean. One that well meets the qualification for the term ‘hot blob.’ The large blocking high associated with the blob has, for some time now, been circulating very high volumes of moisture evaporating off these much warmer than normal waters over Eastern Australia. This moisture loading provides fuel for powerful storms in the form of both more explosive atmospheric lift and higher rainfall potential.

(Ridge-tough dipole triggers extreme weather in region prepped by moisture venting off an ocean hot blob. Image source: Earth Nullschool.)

All that heat and moisture bleeding off the hot blob just needed a catalyst to produce the kind of climate change related event I’ve been calling a ‘rain bomb.’ And, unfortunately for Southeast Australia, just this kind of catalyst in the form of a sharp facing trough in the Jet Stream and related upper level low forming over South Australia is on the way.

From today through late Friday, this low will generate added atmospheric energy that will produce very severe thunderstorms over Southeast Australia. Ones capable of generating extreme rainfall amounts in excess of 2 inches per hour over certain locations. With total rainfall amounts hitting between 4 inches (100 mm) and 12 inches (300 mm) between now and late Friday.

(Predicted extreme rainfall event is being fueled by very warm sea surface temperatures to the east.)

The storm system will also generate strong winds, lightning, and tidal flooding for some locales.

This is a dangerous event risking loss of property and life with a number of climate change related factors involved. Those in the areas affected should stay tuned to local weather (BOM) and government emergency management for storm and response information.

CREDITS:

Hat tip to Colorado Bob

Hat tip to Vic

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100 Comments

  1. We live right on the edge of the purple are in the last chart. Our house is up, but the township is in a valley and will likely get flooded.

    Reply
  2. Thankyou Robert. i have referred to this Australian blob some months ago in the John James Newsletter. Its had a profound effect on our weather, tempering the winters. This will be hthe first storm directly associated with it.

    Reply
  3. wili

     /  November 30, 2017

    The hits just keep coming! How many off-the-charts records have to be broken for certain people to accept that something has gone horribly awry with the world’s climate?

    Meanwhile, a bit less uncertainty now about what is coming:

    Gunnar Myhre, Olivier Boucher, François-Marie Bréon, Piers Forster & Drew Shindell, (2015), “Declining uncertainty in transient climate response as CO2 forcing dominates future climate change”, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo2371

    http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2371.html

    Abstract: “Carbon dioxide has exerted the largest portion of radiative forcing and surface temperature change over the industrial era, but other anthropogenic influences have also contributed. However, large uncertainties in total forcing make it difficult to derive climate sensitivity from historical observations. Anthropogenic forcing has increased between the Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) although its relative uncertainty has decreased. Here we show, based on data from the two reports, that this evolution towards lower uncertainty can be expected to continue into the future. Because it is easier to reduce air pollution than carbon dioxide emissions and because of the long lifetime of carbon dioxide, the less uncertain carbon dioxide forcing is expected to become increasingly dominant. Using a statistical model, we estimate that the relative uncertainty in anthropogenic forcing of more than 40% quoted in the latest IPCC report for 2011 will be almost halved by 2030, even without better scientific understanding. Absolute forcing uncertainty will also decline for the first time, provided projected decreases in aerosols occur. Other factors being equal, this stronger constraint on forcing will bring a significant reduction in the uncertainty of observation-based estimates of the transient climate response, with a 50% reduction in its uncertainty range expected by 2030.”

    Thanks as often to aslr at asif for this.

    Reply
    • rhymeswithgoalie

       /  December 1, 2017

      >>>>How many off-the-charts records have to be broken for certain people to accept that something has gone horribly awry with the world’s climate?

      “But it’s caused by something those lying scientists aren’t telling us about.”
      “God’s punishing us for xyz.”
      “We’ve always had droughts and storms! Quit exaggerating!”
      “This is just an excuse for the New World Order to take over our country.”
      “But Al Gore flies around in jets a lot.”

      Reply
    • Thanks for this, Wili. Good context.

      Reply
  4. Greg

     /  November 30, 2017

    Update: New data shows hurricane deaths in Puerto Rico could be 20 times higher than the government claims
    Puerto Rican officials say only 55 people died from the storm. Researchers estimate more than 1,000 people did.Adid. Adds tremendously to the terrible toll of 2017 for U.S. and Caribbean.
    https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/11/29/16623926/puerto-rico-death-toll-hurricane-maria-count

    Reply
    • Looks like we’ve really passed through a rough one this year. As Hansen and others have been saying for some time now, the climate dice are increasingly loaded.

      Reply
  5. Greg

     /  November 30, 2017

    Robert, close to home. Sea level rise can vary considerably over small distances as this recent high resolution imagery shows. “Over the past century, the Hampton Roads area of the Chesapeake Bay region has experienced one of the highest rates of relative sea level rise on the Atlantic coast of the United States. This rate of relative sea level rise results from a combination of land subsidence, which has long been known to be present in the region, and rising seas associated with global warming on long timescales and exacerbated by shifts in ocean dynamics on shorter timescales. An understanding of the current-day magnitude of each component is needed to create accurate projections of future relative sea level rise upon which to base planning efforts. The objective of this study is to estimate the land component of relative sea level rise using interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) .


    Figure 1
    Hours per year of water-levels exceeding 30 cm above MHHW at the Sewell’s Point tide gauge.


    Figure 4
    Subsidence rate-map (left) and corresponding uncertainties (right) as estimated from historic (Sept 2007-Feb 2011) ALOS SAR data referenced to a GPS reference frame.

    Reply
  6. Greg

     /  December 1, 2017

    This diesel mechanic tells us why the death of diesel and the rise of the electric vehicle renders his work obsolete. The cost of maintaining these beasts has ruined some truckers. Looks at the Tesla semi:

    Reply
    • Total cost of operating is a bigger deal for truckers than even for private owners of cars. Fuel and maintenance are huge aspects of the business. Electrical trucks really have an advantage in this regard.

      Reply
  7. Apneaman

     /  December 1, 2017

    I recently stumbled across this browser add-on. I have no idea how long it’s been around, but thought I’d pass it on for those who may not have heard about it.

    Unpaywall

    “Read research papers for free.

    Legal, fair, and sustainable

    Millions of research papers are available for free on government and university web servers, legally uploaded by the authors themselves, with the express permission of publishers. Unpaywall automatically harvests these freely shared papers from thousands of legal institutional repositories, preprint servers, and publishers, making them all availabe to you as you read.”

    http://unpaywall.org/

    Reply
    • PlazaRed

       /  December 1, 2017

      Water restriction now in place in Northern and Eastern Spain as the drought starts to really take hold.
      Over 2 inches of rain this week in the south of Spain but river beds still dry after the ground simply soaked up the rainfall. No more rain forecasted for the next week at least.
      A lot of olive harvests are very poor due to no rainfall, this will probably lead to a rise in olive oil prices.

      Reply
    • They’re waiting for it to rain. Praying for rain. We’ve seen this movie before. It keeps playing in various locations around the world in longer time-slots.

      Reply
      • Robert E Prue

         /  December 1, 2017

        Yes, and I fear it’s starting up here in the southern plains

        Reply
        • Been working on the research for this all day. Looking pretty nasty. Last 30 days have been rough for negative moisture anomalies. Very rough. Flash drought and all that if this keeps up.

  8. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Subsiding soils may sink southern Spain

    https://climatenewsnetwork.net/23525-2/

    Reply
  9. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Sahara ‘moving north’
    BY CARRIE-MARIE BRATLEY, IN NEWS · 23-11-2017 14:04:00 ·
    A leading national expert on climate change has warned that the Iberian Peninsula might soon be facing spells of droughts that could span up to eight years, as Portugal’s climate becomes increasingly like the arid climes of Northern Africa.

    http://www.theportugalnews.com/news/sahara-moving-north/43959

    Reply
  10. wili

     /  December 1, 2017

    La Niña means drought is now expanding in Texas, even though we’re just three months after Hurricane Harvey’s record-setting rainfall.
    Yes, this will be Houston’s rainiest year in history. Yes, they’ll probably end the year in a drought.

    Reply
  11. Abel Adamski

     /  December 1, 2017

    Slightly OT
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-01/tesla-giant-battery-officially-launched-in-sa/9215318
    Good article, also the battery was called into service the day before due to an unexpected heatwave
    Goes into the winning economics for South Australia due to the structure of the National Energy Supply and the high spot prices ( Costs SA A$50Mill/P.A) this will sharply mute that peak
    Cheap at $50Mill – paid for within a year or two with reduction in peak electricity prices

    Reply
    • Greg

       /  December 1, 2017

      While Tesla builds the future Rex Tillerson, the U.S. secretary of state, shows how to fix the past (Can’t help myself, thanks to the Onion) by fixing an oil leak:

      Reply
      • The onion gets it right again.

        Reply
      • Abel Adamski

         /  December 2, 2017

        tsk tsk
        No pornography please

        However in all seriousity, looks like Tillerson is on the greased slide to be replaced by Pompeo, with Pompeo Reports suggested Pompeo could then be replaced by Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.), perhaps the hardest-line hawk in the Senate.

        https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/12/01/the-end-of-rex-tillerson-may-finally-be-here/?utm_term=.5c9d9c2875f4
        Pompeo, a noted hawk, shares Trump’s desire to end the nuclear deal with Iran, has defended CIA practices amounting to torture and has conspicuously intervened on the president’s behalf amid the investigations into the Trump camp’s contacts with Russia. Cotton, meanwhile, is still perhaps most famous for authoring a brazen and somewhat foolhardy letter to the theocratic leaders of Iran, warning them over negotiations with the United States.
        “This is an awful appointment,” Paul Pillar, a 28-year veteran of the CIA, of Cotton’s potential nomination, said to Business Insider. “Sen. Cotton is a highly ideological individual who is not well-suited to lead an agency part of whose core mission is objective analysis.”

        Shades of the Red/Blue team that gave us the Iraq war and ISIS
        https://climatecrocks.com/2017/10/19/the-red-team-on-climate-change-weve-been-here-before/

        Prior to and during the Reagan administration, hawkish conservative intellectuals were dissatisfied with what they viewed as the U.S.’s insufficiently bellicose posture toward the Soviet Union (and, dammit, everyone else).

        Problem: Pesky CIA analysts kept pointing out the fundamental weaknesses in the Soviet economy and military, inconvenient for arguing the Soviets were an immediate threat that demanded sharply ramping up defense expenditures, murdering Nuns in Central America, and cutting taxes.
        Solution: Get a bunch of paranoid, blood thirsty chicken hawks in a room and come up with an alternative view of the Soviets, one featuring more 900 foot tall robotic super soldiers with laser eye beams.
        You may recognize some of the players.
        Wiki:
        United States Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld began to make speeches arguing that the Soviets were ignoring Secretary of State Henry Kissinger‘s treaties and secretly building up their weapons, with the intention of attacking the United States. Rumsfeld used his position to persuade President Ford to set up an independent inquiry. Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz wanted to create a much more severe view of the Soviet Union, Soviet intentions, Soviet views about fighting and winning a nuclear war.

        Short version: “Team B” analysis was highly influential on the Reagan administration’s view of reality.
        History’s verdict – Wiki again:
        kangaroo court of outside critics all picked from one point of view. According to Anne Hessing Cahn (Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, 1977–1980), Team B’s analysis of weapons systems was later proven to be false. “I would say that all of it was fantasy. … if you go through most of Team B’s specific allegations about weapons systems, and you just examine them one by one, they were all wrong.”[9] The CIA director at the time, George H. W. Bush, concluded that the Team B approach set “in motion a process that lends itself to manipulation for purposes other than estimative accuracy.”[8][14] Brookings Institution Scholar Raymond Garthoff concurred, writing that in “retrospect, and with the Team B report and records now largely declassified, it is possible to see that virtually all of Team B’s criticisms… proved to be wrong. On several important specific points it wrongly criticized and ‘corrected’ the official estimates, always in the direction of enlarging the impression of danger and threat.”[10] A top CIA analyst called Team B “a kangaroo court of outside critics all picked from one point of view.

        Key point: Analysis by Intel professionals turned out to be broadly correct, “Team B” not so much.

        And if you missed the hint, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz and a few dozen others were the prime drivers behind to distortion and “stove piping” of raw intelligence on Iraq, that lead us in to the greatest military blunder by a global power in history, which we’ll be suffering from for generations to come.

        Now, building on that success, a new, improved version of the “Team B” approach is being ginned up (this time called “Red Team”) – to apply to energy and climate change.

        Reply
  12. Shawn Redmond

     /  December 1, 2017

    OT but this may resonate with some:
    http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/176357/tomgram%3A_engelhardt%2C_a_president_made_for_a_zombie_apocalypse_media_world/#more

    By the time The Donald set foot on that escalator, our world of news was already devolving into a set of 24/7 zombie apocalypse events. Otherwise, he and his rants, his red face and strange orange comb-over wouldn’t have made much sense at all. He would have been an unimaginable candidate before the media went into crisis, experienced what might be thought of as its own news inequality gap, and began refocusing on a few singular events of particularly resonant horror. These, in turn, regularly wiped away most of the rest of what was actually happening on this planet, while giving media units with smaller staffs and fewer resources the opportunity to put all their attention and energy into a set of eye-gluing, funds- and staff-preserving spectacles. As CBS Chairman Les Moonves put it bluntly during the 2016 presidential campaign, speaking of the focus on Trump’s candidacy and antics, “It may not be good for America, but it’s damn good for CBS… I’ve never seen anything like this, and this is going to be a very good year for us. Sorry. It’s a terrible thing to say. But, bring it on, Donald. Keep going.”

    Reply
    • This is the news version of the race to the bottom. Trump manipulated it to his benefit and brought back all of our darker angels in spades.

      Reply
    • Just a general statement. Anti-war sentiment is healthy and could probably be seen as an American value. But we should be clear that real patriotism (not the fake patriotism of the right) is also helpful when it sets aspirational goals for our nation in treating people, animals, and the environment justly, and sets out rational goals for achieving such ends. And we may all wish for an end to war. But wishing for an end to war should not weaken our resolve for facing down the tyrants of today — which include both Putin and Trump.

      Reply
  13. Vic

     /  December 1, 2017

    Thanks for the hat tip Robert and many thanks for your excellent blog too.

    I’ve read most of the online coverage of this event so far from the ABC, the Guardian, Sydney Morning Herald and even one of Rupert’s. Not one of them have mentioned the region’s high sea surface temperature anomaly. The closest any of them came was to mention “warm, humid air”. Even the BOM declined to point out the SST elephant in the room.

    The rain bomb hasn’t fully detonated yet with only around a thousand calls for assistance across Victoria so far. The bulk of the rain is expected tonight and tomorrow, particularly in the already sodden north east of the state.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-01/flash-floods-hit-melbourne-as-storm-moves-across-victoria/9214356

    Reply
  14. John McCormick

     /  December 1, 2017

    OMG!!!!

    At 10:25 this morning, I watched former NSA Mike Flynn led into the Courthouse to plead guilty to lying to the FBI.

    At the same time, an article by reporter Eve Peyser appeared on the web
    Everybody Hates Jill……………………. We know her as Jill Stein
    By Eve Peyser
    Nov 28 2017, 10:45pm

    at: https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/8x5pw3/jill-stein-profile

    I read the piece and was shocked to my shoes as I scrolled half way down the piece. It was that famous photo of Flynn sitting next to Vladimir Putin at a lavish Moscow reception and who did I see sitting across the table from Flynn and Putin —— Jill Stein.

    Nobody can make this up as fiction!!! I am dizzy and weary.

    Reply
    • So I posted this picture a couple of months back in the forum here. It was shocking to me then and it is shocking to me now.

      For my part, I did not and do not hate Jill Stein. However, I was very clear during the election that a vote for Jill was basically helping to get Trump elected as with Nader during Bush v Gore. But the fact that she obviously pandered to Putin and appears to have worked with the other side is a big blow for me against her.

      We may have sympathies with firebrands and more clearly spoken and seemingly less conflicted individuals like Jill and Nader. But historically, independents have more tended to split votes among democrats, progressives, and those who are looking to move America forward and away from laissez-faire, hyperindividualism, hypercapitialism, and the disentegration of laws, public supports, institutions taking care of land and the environment, and the general attack on functional, benevolent government. This is a point that I tried to drive home with effect.

      The Russians were obviously, at the time, engaged in an effort to distort the election. Part of this was aimed at dividing democrats and progressives. The first effort focused on divisions between Bernie and Hillary — making the discussion about conflicts between the two rather than about rational differences and shared values. Bernie and Hillary did work to counter this through their communications. However, the generated noise was so loud that it created the opposite impression.

      Generating noise supporting Stein and, moreso, further aimed at dividing those on the left, was also quite overwhelming. I think rational democrats tended to be kicked back by the level and intensity of this propaganda. This had an effect in that it stifled some of the usual discourse prior to the election and further clouded real issues. Of course, votes for Stein in such a tight election had an impact. Perhaps not on their own, but in conjunction with other efforts provided an additive effect.

      I will say that the level of coordination between the Trump campaign and Russia appears greater now than I even feared last year. Reaching to the highest levels of staff within the campaign and operating in a broad fashion to tint the entire electoral field from left to right to center. The damage to our democracy has carried forward in a hundred ways. But we can see the terrible harm in the form of attempts to turn the Justice Department and Intelligence Services into thugs aimed at jailing Trump political opponents, at the complete gutting of the Department of State’s effectiveness in diplomacy along with the firing of not just key diplomats, but the wholesale firing of diplomats at all levels, the attempts to turn EPA into an institution that fast tracks harmful fossil fuel use, the same with DOE, the alienation of allies, the sand-bagging of legislation aimed at sanctioning Russia for its aggressive action against us, and the related coddling of Putin by the Trump Administration.

      Some proof of coordination is still coming to light. But the evidence of coordination and of Trump acting on behalf of corporate and foreign government interests and not on behalf of the interests of the American people is plain as day.

      Reply
      • This is an article about how just a quick visualization of safety changed people’s attitude from fear-based conservative to much closer to liberal.

        I had been thinking that since fear-based propaganda seems to work so well for the GOP maybe we needed to use it as well, pointing out real dangers instead of created ones. This implies that maybe we need some way of reassuring people before presenting subjects like climate change. It may also explain why conservatives don’t believe in climate change- it is too scary so they would rather believe it doesn’t exist than try to face that fear.

        At Yale, we conducted an experiment to turn conservatives into liberals. The results say a lot about our political divisions.
        https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/inspired-life/wp/2017/11/22/at-yale-we-conducted-an-experiment-to-turn-conservatives-into-liberals-the-results-say-a-lot-about-our-political-divisions/?tid=hybrid_mostsharedarticles_1_na&utm_term=.7742c1b5a199
        (This is behind a pay wall if you have read more than 3 WaPo articles, but if you alt-click on the link you can open it in an incognito window and read it there.)

        Conservatives, it turns out, react more strongly to physical threat than liberals do. In fact, their greater concern with physical safety seems to be determined early in life: In one University of California study, the more fear a 4-year-old showed in a laboratory situation, the more conservative his or her political attitudes were found to be 20 years later. Brain imaging studies have even shown that the fear center of the brain, the amygdala, is actually larger in conservatives than in liberals. And many other laboratory studies have found that when adult liberals experienced physical threat, their political and social attitudes became more conservative (temporarily, of course). But no one had ever turned conservatives into liberals.

        In a new study to appear in a forthcoming issue of the European Journal of Social Psychology, my colleagues Jaime Napier, Julie Huang and Andy Vonasch and I asked 300 U.S. residents in an online survey their opinions on several contemporary issues such as gay rights, abortion, feminism and immigration, as well as social change in general. The group was two-thirds female, about three-quarters white, with an average age of 35. Thirty-percent of the participants self-identified as Republican, and the rest as Democrat.

        But before they answered the survey questions, we had them engage in an intense imagination exercise. They were asked to close their eyes and richly imagine being visited by a genie who granted them a superpower. For half of our participants, this superpower was to be able to fly, under one’s own power. For the other half, it was to be completely physically safe, invulnerable to any harm.

        If they had just imagined being able to fly, their responses to the social attitude survey showed the usual clear difference between Republicans and Democrats — the former endorsed more conservative positions on social issues and were also more resistant to social change in general.

        But if they had instead just imagined being completely physically safe, the Republicans became significantly more liberal — their positions on social attitudes were much more like the Democratic respondents. And on the issue of social change in general, the Republicans’ attitudes were now indistinguishable from the Democrats. Imagining being completely safe from physical harm had done what no experiment had done before — it had turned conservatives into liberals.

        In both instances, we had manipulated a deeper underlying reason for political attitudes, the strength of the basic motivation of safety and survival. The boiling water of our social and political attitudes, it seems, can be turned up or down by changing how physically safe we feel.

        There is much more to the article, well worth the read.

        Reply
        • Abel Adamski

           /  December 2, 2017

          Thank you, an excellent article, verifying the basis for the constant fear and outrage campaigns of the rabid right.

      • wili

         /  December 5, 2017

        Please stop repeating the Nader canard. It is helping no one.

        Reply
        • Nope. You do not get to tell me to shut up. Good try, though.

          Actually, considering that folks are apparently still trying to distract democrats with various false hopes, it’s absolutely pivotal that we keep repeating these basic facts. Another rather disappointing statement from you, Wili. But the fact that you say this strengthens my resolve. Makes me realize this really is a key point to keep communicating if some people still think the subject of exploitation of internal division is a ‘canard.’ And yes, failure to understand the very simple fact that third parties almost universally act as spoilers to the democratic side in the U.S. is basic blindness to history.

          As for Nader — loved the guy. But he would have done far more good as a Senator than as a cut-out candidate which allowed the republicans to attack us from both the right and the fake left.

    • To this point:

      Reply
      • Mblanc

         /  December 1, 2017

        I know I shouldn’t say this, and it isn’t my country, but…

        Lock him up, lock him up…

        Reply
  15. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Bureau Home > Australia > Radar Images
    Radar Images

    http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/radar/

    Reply
  16. John McCormick

     /  December 1, 2017

    ++1

    Robert, we all are in this lifeboat, in a raging sea paddling towards the democratic shore we beg.

    Reply
  17. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Reply
    • Arctic anomaly reaching near 6 C. Some models show it could hit +8 C by early to mid December. We’re in the barrel of a potentially very strong polar amplification period at this time.

      Reply
  18. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    The good ole’ days.

    In 2016, Flynn was the rare establishment-type figure to come out vocally as a Trump supporter, earning him a prime speaking slot at the Republican National Convention, where he joined the crowd in chants of “Lock her up!”

    https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/01/muellers-office-announces-flynn-will-plead-guilty-274349

    Reply
    • The guilty are often those most likely to point the finger and to pursue incarceration for their political rivals on the basis of trumped-up claims. We see this in dictatorships across the world.

      Real criminal cases lead with reasonable suspicion of wrongdoing and ask for further investigation. Politicization of criminality leads with the accusation. This is a distinction we should be very clear about as we investigate both real and potential crimes by the Trump campaign. We should also be clear on the difference between counter-accusations with no basis in fact that are made in an attempt to distract from harmful and possibly illegal activity.

      Reply
  19. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Rising Seas Could Submerge the Oldest English Settlement in the Americas

    Sea-level rise this century may threaten Jamestown in Virginia, the first permanent English settlement in the Americas; the Kennedy Space Center in Florida, which launches all of NASA’s human spaceflight missions; and the Cape Hatteras Lighthouse in North Carolina, the tallest brick lighthouse in the United States, a new study finds.

    These iconic locales are some of the more than 13,000 archaeological and historical sites on the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the southeastern United States that rising sea levels will endanger this century, researchers in the new study said.

    https://www.livescience.com/61063-rising-seas-may-destroy-archeological-sites.html

    Reply
  20. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Wellington’s driest November for 90 years, record low rainfall

    http://wellington.scoop.co.nz/?p=105384

    Reply
  21. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Tirunelveli: Heavy rains lashed Papanasam and Manimuthar in Tirunelveli district on Thursday recording a total rainfall in excess of 300 mm in a day, the highest since the disastrous floods of November 13, 1992. Papanasam recorded 282 mm and Manimuthar 281.2 mm rainfall respectively in just eight hours (8 a.m. to 4 p.m.) on Thursday.

    https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/madurai/papanasam-and-manimuthar-record-over-280-mm-rainfall-in-eight-hours/articleshow/61871811.cms

    Reply
  22. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Cities and states could see their credit ratings crash if they don’t start preparing for climate change

    A new report from Moody’s outlines how the credit rating agency will evaluate the impact of climate change in its ratings for state and local bond issuers.
    The report emphasizes how climate shocks from rising sea levels and extreme weather events will harm coastal communities.
    If these communities don’t prepare for climate change, Moody’s says their credit ratings could suffer and interest rates might increase.

    http://www.businessinsider.com/moodys-credit-ratings-could-drop-without-preparation-for-climate-change-2017-11

    Reply
  23. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    “We are more connected than ever before but … more and more we are fitting facts to suit our opinions rather than formulating our opinions based on facts,” said Obama, who was in China before visiting India, and next goes to Paris.

    “This poses a great danger because democracies can’t function if we can’t agree on a basic baseline of what is true and what is false.”

    https://www.timeslive.co.za/news/world/2017-12-01-obama-digs-at-trump-over-climate-change/

    Reply
    • coloradobob

       /  December 1, 2017

      Delingpole: The Great Global Warming Scam Began with the Nazis…

      Reply
  24. Mblanc

     /  December 1, 2017

    Here is a nice article by the Guardian on new research on running costs of EV’s, and the news is good.

    ‘Electric cars are already cheaper to own and run than petrol or diesel cars in the UK, US and Japan, new research shows.

    The lower cost is a key factor driving the rapid rise in electric car sales now underway, say the researchers. At the moment the cost is partly because of government support, but electric cars are expected to become the cheapest option without subsidies in a few years.

    The researchers analysed the total cost of ownership of cars over four years, including the purchase price and depreciation, fuel, insurance, taxation and maintenance. They were surprised to find that pure electric cars came out cheapest in all the markets they examined: UK, Japan, Texas and California.’

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/dec/01/electric-cars-already-cheaper-to-own-and-run-than-petrol-or-diesel-study

    Reply
  25. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    Denier blogs and science-based blogs “diametrically opposite”
    In this study, the authors examined the arguments made by 45 denier blogs and 45 science-based blogs regarding the impact of human-caused global warming on polar bear populations and Arctic sea ice extent. They found that the science-based blogs all showed that Artic sea ice is declining, and nearly all said that global warming threatens polar bear populations.

    Conversely, the denier blogs nearly all denied that Arctic sea ice is declining or argued that we can’t predict how it will change in the future, and that polar bears aren’t threatened and/or will adapt to climate change.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/nov/29/new-study-uncovers-the-keystone-domino-strategy-of-climate-denial

    Reply
  26. Jeremy in Wales

     /  December 1, 2017

    The Sentinel 5P satelite appears to be up and running measuring a number of pollutants. More images and data from the sidebar on left.
    http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Copernicus/Sentinel-5P/Sentinel-5P_brings_air_pollution_into_focus
    This particular image, a forecast was shocking in that a large part of the Nitrogen Dioxide pollution is from shipping lanes, Suez canal & through the Mediterranean and in particular the English Channel. Ships are particularly polluting but are ideally placed a large part of the time to use renewables, such as Rotor ships using the Magnus Effect
    http://www.esa.int/spaceinimages/Images/2017/10/Nitrogen_dioxide_forecast

    Reply
  27. sunkensheep

     /  December 1, 2017

    The rain event here in southeast Australia isn’t quite as bad as some of the articles would suggest, most places are getting 2 to 4 inches of rain, some elevated slopes might get 5 to 6. This was a scenario where modeling has low skill, so it was giving a large range for possible rainfall, and people took the high-end of the rainfall forecast and ran with it.

    Reply
  28. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    ” Fecal matter enters the rotating device ”

    Michael Flynn Pleads Guilty to Lying to the F.B.I. and Will Cooperate With Russia Inquiry

    Reply
  29. Syd Bridges

     /  December 1, 2017

    Thanks, Robert, for the update. It appears that the laws of physics don’t bow to the Abbott and Turnbull governments. I am shocked!

    I wonder whether Mike Pence will change the White House curtains, assuming that he survives the Russia scandal.

    Reply
    • I’m wondering how well the republican party will weather the Russia scandal. How many looked the other way or carried water for Trump?

      Not sure Pence can really say he wasn’t aware of this mess. It’s going to be tough for him to say why he joined the campaign when such allegations were already starting to surface.

      Reply
  30. coloradobob

     /  December 1, 2017

    jiiski • 30 minutes ago
    I wish Masters and Henson (and others) would do a podcast discussion of these blogs.
    1
    •Reply•Share ›

    Avatar
    coloradobob1 jiiski • 20 minutes ago
    Cracker Jack idea , absolutely Cracker Jack.
    1
    •Edit•Reply•Share ›
    Avatar
    jiiski • 6 minutes ago
    You could do one! It would be great!

    •Reply•Share ›
    Avatar
    coloradobob1 jiiski • a few seconds ago
    Have you read Scribbler ? He’s a good choice as well.

    Reply
    • Ha! Thanks Bob. Much appreciated. Would be happy to chat with any of these guys.

      Reply
      • coloradobob

         /  December 1, 2017

        I was thinking of you taking the bit in your teeth with your readers , That one, people would hear. How all that works I have zero clue.
        But consider this, one of your readers is cop trying to save the forest in Brazil.

        I for one would like these interviews.

        Reply
        • coloradobob

           /  December 2, 2017

          If there’s one thing I know here , you have one of the most world wide readerships of anyone. And trust me more people would listen .

          Sound beats print
          Pictures beat sound

        • Good point.

  31. Vic

     /  December 1, 2017

    A monsoonal moisture flow now feeding into the mix…

    Reply
  32. Vic

     /  December 2, 2017

    Reply
  33. coloradobob

     /  December 2, 2017

    Last gasp of travel –

    Climbing Mount Kilimanjaro in 2018 with Altezza Travel
    http://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/3582259#ixzz503dYFJx9

    Burn a lot of Jet-A to see why the ice on Mount Kilimanjaro is melting .

    This one really sticks in my craw, When it is draped in the name of Nature.

    Reply
  34. coloradobob

     /  December 2, 2017

    This is when I got the bit in my teeth,
    A movement.

    Reply
  35. coloradobob

     /  December 2, 2017

    This is when I got the bit in my teeth

    Reply
  36. coloradobob

     /  December 2, 2017

    Trouble Comin’ Every Day , The Mothers Of Invention , 1966 Vinyl

    Reply
  37. coloradobob

     /  December 2, 2017

    Crazy.

    Reply
  1. Warming warming warming danger danger danger Magazine vol 1 November 29, 2017

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